意外馬研究  ，  描述： 吹水

Unused : (
1. 漏閘
R1 :
對-3 ( 12=>11 {-}), 1 ( 12=>11 {+} )
錯-5 ( 3=>4 {--}, 11=>12 {-}, 8=>11 {} )
??-11 (14=>? {+})

R2 :
對-1 (13=>6 {-} ), 9 (9=>3 {+} , 10=>9 {-})
錯-1 (8=>13 {++} ), 9 (3=>4 {} )
??-
)



[ 本帖最後由 wersocrazy 於 6-1-2011 11:09 AM 編輯 ]

可以解釋下嗎

睇緊"賽績指引", 有無"漏閘"之類既字..
遲D先..

[ 本帖最後由 wersocrazy 於 5-1-2011 02:48 PM 編輯 ]

A trial only

R1 :
good : 6, 3, 2, 5?, 7?, 11, 12, 10
bad : 4 (5->6), 1 (5->3 retake), 9 (6->9)
R2 :
good : 8,5,7{-},12,2,3{-},10{-}
bad : 6 (7->12),11 (13->10),1 (9->7),4 (13->6 retake)
? : 9 (last time 2nd)
R3 :
good : 11,3{-},2,1,8,12,6,4,7
bad : 5 (9->2 retake),9 (4->4 retake)
? : 10
R4 :
good : 3,7,11,2,1,10,5,9,8,4
bad : 6 (11->3 retake)
? : 12
R5 :
good : 1,6,4,9,12{-},10,2
bad : 3 (12->13),11 (2->8),7 (4->6),8 (9->8),5 (12->3 retake)
R6 :
good : 12 {-}, 3, 1?, 11, 4
bad : 9 {1->8), 6 (9->10)
? : 5, 10, 8, 7, 2,
R7 :
good : 3, 9{-}, 12, 4, 5, 2, 6, 7,
bad : 1 (8->4 retake), 10 (8->10), 11 (1->6)
? : 8
R8 :
good : 5, 11, 1, 7, 2{--}
bad : 10 (10->4 retake), 12 (8->5 retake), 3 (11->10), 9 (9->9)
? : 6,4,8

Total elimination hrs : 13

[ 本帖最後由 wersocrazy 於 5-1-2011 02:51 PM 編輯 ]

Just for fun, 唔好咁認真

R1 : 4,9 (all correct)
R2 : 1,6,11 (all correct)
R3 : nil
R4 : nil
R5 : 3,7,8,11 (all correct, wow, 4 hrs including favorite)
R6 : 6,9 (all correct)
R7 : 10,11 (all correct)
R8 : 3,9 (all correct)

Should be 15 hrs for elimination totally

[ 本帖最後由 wersocrazy 於 5-1-2011 11:50 PM 編輯 ]

That means, if/assume I found the clue for eliminating horses due to "Last Race"...
Then I've got to rework on my "賠率選馬" again, adding this eliminating factor..

好煩.. 無人幫點做??

If u're working on horse elimination, u'll notice its beauty :

1. it's accurate according to past records - I believe it's around 1 miss out of 50 or so
2. it's elimination is not directly related to odds
e.g. last night, it eliminated -
R1   No 4 (10.6), 9 (15.9)
R2   No 6 (7.9), 11 (12.8)
R5   No 7 (14.4), 11 (3.7)
R8   No 3 (8.4)
for other elimination methods (e.g. speedmap), they may be somehow related to odds
3. as it's a different area to the field that I'm focussing (odds movement), it helps me a lot
4. I believe the "Insider" (i.e. trainers) may refer to this area also, as they'll see whether the horse got accident or race 形勢 of previous race to determine whether to go horse in this race or not
5. it's not public, at least directly.  It's focussing on elimination which is not newspaper's method.  But actually it helps a lot if u got your own system
6. it can't be found elsewhere in hrc   
7. it's easy to work on.  No much time is needed to be spent
8. it eliminates quite a number of horses.  According to Wed, it eliminates 15 horses, around 14% of total horses
(the poor rules that I removed yesterday only removes around 1~2%　of total horses)

Any brother, if u got speedmap for this horse season, pls pm me, thx.

[ 本帖最後由 wersocrazy 於 6-1-2011 11:34 AM 編輯 ]