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標題: coffee 馬房及騎師出擊預測 [打印本頁]

作者: coffee 時間: 28-11-2005 11:08 PM 標題: coffee 馬房及騎師出擊預測

用操練必殺技預測出擊馬房或騎師

20/11 沈集成 (3W 再戰風雲29倍W 貴蝦王7倍W) 告束尼 (1W1Q)
27/11 韋達 (4W1Q2T 再戰群雄7倍W)                史科菲 (2W1Q2T 超理想28倍P 全勝福星16倍W)
30/11 霍達 (1Q)                                              鄭雨滇 (1W1Q)
03/12 柏寶  (1W1Q)                                        戴勝(2W 春風化雨$99.5W 馬友寶$142.5W)
07/12 韋達 (2W 聚寶駒14倍W)                         蔡約翰 (1W1Q)
11/12 韋達 (1W 2Q 2T 危險大師 $40 PLACE)       戴勝 (1W)
14/12 高雅志 (3T 藍基因 $44.5 Place)                   杜利萊 (2Q)
17/12 韋達高雅志

作者: coffee 時間: 30-11-2005 05:26 PM

due to data error, final decision for 30/11/2005 should be 鄭雨滇霍達

作者: GR上杉圭 時間: 30-11-2005 05:29 PM

可否列出全日出擊騎師/練馬師出馬總數以作參考?

作者: coffee 時間: 30-11-2005 05:37 PM

good idea

作者: 喜得法 時間: 2-12-2005 11:45 AM

引用:

原帖由 GR上杉圭 於 30-11-2005 05:29 PM 發表
可否列出全日出擊騎師/練馬師出馬總數以作參考?

支持!!!

作者: coffee 時間: 6-12-2005 03:57 AM

作者: coffee 時間: 6-12-2005 09:05 PM

updated 7/12/2005

作者: coffee 時間: 8-12-2005 06:23 PM

每次選必殺技評級最多2或3粒星馬匹, 加上馬匹近期表現和同程往績比較得出騎練出擊預測

試左5個賽日，總共選了79隻馬得17隻W (22%) 6Q (7.5%) 和 6隻T (7.5%).

若用$10買W 本$790 總回報 $1345.5 賺 $555.5 (70.3%)
若用$10買P 本$790 總回報 $781 蝕 $9 (-1.1%)
若用$10買WP 本$1580 總回報 $2126.5 賺 $546.5 (34.5%)

如果10元平注都有賺的話，相信再經篩選可有更好利潤。
大家認為點賭先有可為呢？Comment 唔該!!

作者: uturn 時間: 8-12-2005 10:12 PM

測試多幾個月，下季才賭都未遲

作者: 天樂 時間: 8-12-2005 10:34 PM

測試時間太短了,建議再用多幾個月/1季時間測試,看看長時間能否維持.
另外,若想贏大錢的話,賭單Q/QP較可取,因為WP賠率實在太細,>90%W 都是10倍之內,P更加不用說了

作者: coffee 時間: 9-12-2005 09:35 AM

Yes....You guys are right...
Let me store more data for a few more months and revised....
Thank you for comments

作者: GR上杉圭 時間: 9-12-2005 11:53 AM

最好以操練來收窄買Q/QP o既範圍...
將冇明確清晰pattern o既練馬師data 除去~
以有操練pattern 為重心~
再以qualitative o既方式選出配腳~
應該會有一個不錯o既回報~
請繼續努力!!!

作者: ericych 時間: 9-12-2005 06:17 PM

我覺得出擊的練馬師同騎師
如果同場合作的話可以加注到20囉

or 兩位出擊的騎師同練馬師同場可以小注qp

唔知有冇用呢

作者: phantomhorse 時間: 10-12-2005 01:40 PM

22% W very excellent la. Right, data is not large enough to be significant. See the outcome later. However, do you think you can win from betting Q? I dont think so. I insists on betting W only. --> When prof. mainly focus on W, you dont need to doubt that.

Frankly, I dont think we can "use a knife to cut the tree". It is daydream. In the long run, if you can make 50% of your total bet, you are surely much better than me :)

Coffee, why need so many advices from the others? The self-esteem is proportional to your winning ability. When you think you can win, you listen to the others? Different ppl have different styles/ ways. Listen to your heart is good enough. Anyway, it is great to share your thoughts. Sharing means getting better - I wish you good luck! :)

作者: coffee 時間: 10-12-2005 03:59 PM

11/12 韋達戴勝

作者: coffee 時間: 11-12-2005 08:42 AM

引用:

原帖由 phantomhorse 於 10-12-2005 01:40 PM 發表
22% W very excellent la. Right, data is not large enough to be significant. See the outcome later. However, do you think you can win from betting Q? I dont think so. I insists on betting W only. -- ...

Thank you phantom. I am not doing this with no confidence, but I just think collecting ideas and values from different people may inspire me a lot and brush up my skills. Thank you for giving me comments. I will think about it.

作者: coffee 時間: 13-12-2005 11:24 PM

14-12-2005

高雅志
杜利萊

作者: coffee 時間: 17-12-2005 09:50 AM

高雅志
韋達

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