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標題: 臨場大小研究 [打印本頁]

作者: 小胖 時間: 13-12-2008 07:59 PM 標題: 臨場大小研究

correlation between no. of defenders & big/small

作者: 小胖 時間: 13-12-2008 08:21 PM

1. http://soccernet-akamai.espn.go. ... IFA.CWC&cc=4716

0~45 : 4-4-2 vs 5-4-1 (2-0)
45~69 : 4-4-2 vs 3-6-1 (2-1)
69~76 : 4-4-2 vs 3-5-2 (2-2)
76~90 : 4-4-2 vs 3-5-2 (2-2)

conclusion : 3 defenders at 45 min => 2 more goals

2. http://soccernet-akamai.espn.go. ... 16&league=GER.1

0~38 : 4-4-2 vs 3-4-3 (1-0)
38~45 : 4-3-2 vs 3-4-3 (1-0)
45~59 : 4-4-1 vs 3-4-3 (2-0)
59~67 : 4-4-1 vs 3-4-3 (2-0)
67~83 : 4-4-1 vs 3-4-3 (2-1)
83~87 : 5-3-1 vs 3-4-3 (2-1)
87~90 : 5-3-1 vs 3-4-3 (2-1)

conclusion : 3 defenders at start => BIG at the end

3. http://soccernet-akamai.espn.go. ... e=NED.1&cc=4716

0~35 : 5-2-3 vs 4-5-1 (1-0)
35~54 : 5-2-3 vs 3-5-1 (1-0 + pen)
...

conclusion : 3 defenders at 54 min => 2 more goals

[ 本帖最後由小胖於 13-12-2008 10:10 PM 編輯 ]

作者: ccchunghome 時間: 13-12-2008 08:43 PM

有點看不懂 @.@

作者: 小胖 時間: 13-12-2008 10:02 PM

引用:

原帖由 ccchunghome 於 13-12-2008 08:43 PM 發表
有點看不懂 @.@

想研究下某隊打3後防會否造成大波膽

作者: goalkeeper 時間: 14-12-2008 08:45 AM

I think 3-5-2 and 3-4-3 do have a big difference ... not only consider the defender ... what if the opponent team plays 9-0-1 ?

作者: 小胖 時間: 14-12-2008 09:10 PM

引用:

原帖由 goalkeeper 於 14-12-2008 08:45 AM 發表
I think 3-5-2 and 3-4-3 do have a big difference ... not only consider the defender ... what if the opponent team plays 9-0-1 ?

Then it'll be a special case.. maybe including 3-x-x vs 5-x-x that it's uncertain...
Normally, 3-x-x vs 4-x-x/3-x-x has quite big chance of have BIG results

Wrapping up, the principles of betting 臨場大小 include :
1. formation (may found in ESPN a little BEFORE the match, that we may bet even it's not a 即場投注 match)
<may not be 即場投注 match, may not has ESPN gamecast>
2. principle of saturation (e.g. 維迪斯 (主) 1 : 1 燕豪芬), both have score goals (forward has handed their homework) and both teams are quite satisfied - for 即場投注 matches
<must be 即場投注 match, may not has ESPN gamecast>
3. match status - e.g. the number of shots inside penalty area, total no. of shots, no. of shots that hit target etc - for 即場投注 matches
<must be 即場投注 match, must has ESPN gamecast>

Preparations :
- setup the amount of bets that made for good/moderate/little confidence (e.g. $300, $100, $50/$10)
- Don't violate the maximum bets unless very very exceptional cases

[ 本帖最後由小胖於 14-12-2008 09:29 PM 編輯 ]

作者: 山埃博士 時間: 15-12-2008 11:55 PM

引用:

原帖由 stuv098 於 15-12-2008 07:59 PM 發表
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作者: 唔該行開 時間: 5-2-2009 11:15 PM

小胖好冇耐見 =]~

前排番左大陸失蹤多人有冇掛住我呢

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