If you brothers check the performance of 喜勁飛 in her race 687 preceding her last winning race 725,
you will find in that 1400M, the horse achieved the fastest last 400M time, 22.6 (which is the 3rd fastest last 400M in Class 3 1400M). After that race, the trainer keeps on giving pressure on her in the track work. In fact the track work is excellent because in that work with*** with a companion horse, she acheived the time below 50 with the last section time below 22.5. As 2 section time is 45.8, it is only 2 lines below the standard section time of 3rd and 4th section time of the standard section time in Class 3 1400M. It means the horse is fit and ready to win. Since the horse is a stayer and is proved to have the powerful 400M speed in 1400M, she eventually wins the race. I tell you a secret. This is anti-trend horse. Reason, as the pace of race 725 is slow run in the first section, 喜勁飛 is a stayer and can still win the race even by losing almost 5 horse length competing outside.
She can be classifed as a super horse. Next season, she at least has two more wins!!
She could stand two track work under the time 52.0 plus the last section time of both work below 23.5.
Secondly, in Race 629 1650M Happy Valley, she won with the sectional time
28.74 24.38 25.24 22.63 (1.41.0 ). The last 400M speed 22.63 is the fastest in the last year Cass 3 1650M which is 22.81 done by 聚寶駒 in Race 17 on 12/9/07. Though in that race 629, she did not have fastest fisinishing time. But that race is a slow run race. The first and
2nd section are 52.3 77.6 as compared with Class 3 1650M standard 52 and 77. The slow run should be no good for 天祿 as she is a late-fininsher. But she still wins showing her anti-trend ability.
For both reasons, 天祿 can win in Race 731 as we know racing ability /pace of average horse of 1400M Shatin is same as 1650M Happy Valley as evidenced by ex-trainer 梁裼麟. In other words, for those horses which can cope with the pace of 1650M, she can manage 1400M too. 作者: paulcheung88 時間: 5-7-2009 04:05 PM
雄心馬主 in Race 722 won is that she took the advantage of her front leading character. We know that the track was yielding-to-soft on that day. By using his average pace in different sections method, she won the race . Besides another reason is that she is good at soft track. Before the race, nobody knows. But his front leading habit does do her advantageous. For soft track performance records, I won't take it as reference. What I learn from such races is to know which horse is better in a soft track. I forget altogethr their time at all. 作者: dane 時間: 5-7-2009 04:22 PM
When the right time comes, I shall publish the fastest 400M speed for different classes
and difference distances for current season for all brothers to take them as reference.
The data is very useful when you evaluate the performance of each horse because we
have a proven yardstick. 作者: 山埃博士 時間: 5-7-2009 05:52 PM
I talked about the last 400M speed plus which class the horse wins. We have to look at both sides. Different classes have different last 400M. Also we have to care the fnishing
time the horse acheives. Whether she shows anti-trend ability also has take into account,
not simply look at her last 400M speed or his best finishing time. Even she has the fastest
finishing time in her class, it does not mean she can win in an upper class when she
meets stronger opponents. Hence, as I said, we have to compare horse by horse in
the same class and same distance. Sometimes, we find a super horse, it does not mean
that she readily wins in any distance with any opponents. We have to know there is a
higher heaven over this heaven and there is a higher mountain over this mountain. 作者: 贏馬人 時間: 5-7-2009 07:33 PM
I totally agree with 贏馬人兄. 作者: phantomhorse 時間: 6-7-2009 01:49 PM
hoho, great discussion. Look forward to having a meeting.
paul hing are specialized in pacing? 作者: paulcheung88 時間: 8-7-2009 10:47 AM
I have done some research on pace and speed for sometime, not an expert and still
try to explore more on this area. I like to exchange some more ideas with brothers on this area!
