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標題: 如果是你又會怎投注贏錢？ [打印本頁]
作者: coffee    時間: 27-10-2005 07:54 PM     標題: 如果是你又會怎投注贏錢？

十月二十六日的賽馬後又一小統計。

我發現若一場只選取到一匹必殺技和必殺秒數選的馬，

出現27次
3 Win (11%)
14 Place (51.8%)

有51.8%的入圍率怎樣投注可贏錢？
作者: GR上杉圭    時間: 27-10-2005 08:25 PM

睇黎w/p都集中係10倍以下~
可惜win o既機會率唔高...
p 又冇值搏率~
q 膽亦唔搵陣....
要過關亦冇咩同日o既選擇...
雖然入圍率高~
但似乎不輕易定立到一個投注方式及策略...
作者: 硬漢子    時間: 27-10-2005 09:52 PM

引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 27-10-2005 07:54 PM 發表
十月二十六日的賽馬後又一小統計。

我發現若一場只選取到一匹必殺技和必殺秒數選的馬，

出現27次
3 Win (11%)
14 Place (51.8%)

有51.8%的入圍率怎樣投注可贏錢？[ ...
金字塔式投注如何? 即當日有幾多匹為一個循環, 因為你最多那日都只有3匹馬. 第一匹投注$100, 輸了第二匹要$200, 再輸第三匹$300所有輸晒便當日輸了$600.

例如: 04 sep 投注友實力win-$100, 投注place+$500
                      投注日當頭win-$100, 投注place-$100
                      投注金武士win-$200, 投注place-$200
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         當日計算win-$600,          place+$200

如計算成績           Win               Place
04/09/05               -$600            +$200
07/09/05               +$410           +$155
11/09/05               +$920           +$180
14/09/05               -$100             -$100
17/09/05               +$2175         +$525
24/09/05               -$300              -$45
28/09/05               -$100             +$55
02/10/05               -$100             -$100
05/10/05               -$300             +$445
09/10/05               -$300             +$340
16/10/05               -$100              -$100
19/10/05               -$600              -$600
22/10/05               -$100              -$65
26/10/05               -$600              +$360
-------------------------------------------------------------
暫時成績             +$305               +$1250
好似place回報較高
如有錯誤敬請見諒!
:D:D:D
作者: booking    時間: 28-10-2005 01:34 AM

引用:
原帖由 硬漢子 於 27-10-2005 09:52 PM 發表

金字塔式投注如何? 即當日有幾多匹為一個循環, 因為你最多那日都只有3匹馬. 第一匹投注$100, 輸了第二匹要$200, 再輸第三匹$300所有輸晒便當日輸了$600.

例如: 04 sep 投注友實力win-$100, 投注place+$500
...
Good idea!
作者: booking    時間: 28-10-2005 02:43 AM

引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 27-10-2005 07:54 PM 發表
十月二十六日的賽馬後又一小統計。

我發現若一場只選取到一匹必殺技和必殺秒數選的馬，

出現27次
3 Win (11%)
14 Place (51.8%)

有51.8%的入圍率怎樣投注可贏錢？[ ...
P 有51.8%的入圍率 大概2次中一次，可以用買欖嘅形式.......以達到某個數為基準後再從頭開始。本就大啲，但係%高就冇乜問題！唔好SIDE咗咁高嘅%......
作者: coffee    時間: 28-10-2005 05:52 AM

即是這樣嘛......Only Place
有得執 wor....
作者: booking    時間: 28-10-2005 06:13 AM

引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 28-10-2005 05:52 AM 發表
即是這樣嘛......
有得執 wor....
[size=-2]exactly!!!!!
作者: coffee    時間: 28-10-2005 08:51 AM

引用:
原帖由 硬漢子 於 27-10-2005 09:52 PM 發表

金字塔式投注如何? 即當日有幾多匹為一個循環, 因為你最多那日都只有3匹馬. 第一匹投注$100, 輸了第二匹要$200, 再輸第三匹$300所有輸晒便當日輸了$600.

例如: 04 sep 投注友實力win-$100, 投注place+$500
...
This one also works...with less risk but fewer return
作者: hungera    時間: 28-10-2005 10:22 AM

引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 28-10-2005 08:51 AM 發表


This one also works...with less risk but fewer return
fair enough...
"less risk but fewer return ",
"high risk high return"...
作者: phantomhorse    時間: 28-10-2005 11:02 AM

Will you bet HKD12,800 ? Come on! High risk.
作者: GR上杉圭    時間: 28-10-2005 11:38 AM

引用:
原帖由 phantomhorse 於 28-10-2005 11:02 AM 發表
Will you bet HKD12,800 ? Come on! High risk.
agree~
冇值搏率ma...
嬴就嬴舊柑，輸就輸獲甘!!
作者: coffee    時間: 28-10-2005 02:05 PM

引用:
原帖由 phantomhorse 於 28-10-2005 11:02 AM 發表
Will you bet HKD12,800 ? Come on! High risk.
I have also tried your formula you mentioned.

1st bet (Target return / Odds - 1)
2nd bet (Target return+money lost / Odds - 1)
.
.
.
.
.

But the capital put still large......
do you have any suggestion phantom?
作者: phantomhorse    時間: 28-10-2005 03:00 PM

I used to bet 3~5 races daily. I often have 1 or 2 selections in each races. Rare to have 3. If more than 4, I just dont bet. Since I rarely eat white fruit, the method fits me. And, as I rarely win 3 races daily, I used to bet a little after win 2 races in a day. (impossible to stop betting for me , just bet a little for fun when have a winning day.) I dont think I can win a lot by tiny amount. In fact, if I can win 30% of my total bets, I am happy. Now my profit is ~42%. Good to me.

Generally, I won a few cold place last year. However, after review, it is quite risky. If I have cold selection and think it is hard to win, I will bet QP instead of P this season.

First of all, I study the chance of the most favorite. After I am confident at the chance of the most favorite (win or lose), I decide to bet.

Betting decison:... no good to write too much in office hour. Write later.

I try not to bet W under HKD40. Like 有才有勢 last time, 兩出兩捷，有3/4泥地血統，W still paid HKD38. Thus, if W under HKD40, I need to think very carefully. If I do not lose much, ok to bet. If already have pressure to cover the bet, need to consider la. 如無把握，不如將金錢緊握。

I never bet QP under HKD30. Like 零用錢+一子彈, both are very good horses, the paid is still HKD30. Generally, I love to bet QP around HKD40~HKD50 when the most favorite is under HKD40 but has very good chance.  Single QP only.

When the most favorite is "must be dead", I will bet W. Sometimes, ok to bet 對碰W. Say, Wed night, I believed 拖肥糖 cannot W, I bet 夢成真+大發雄威 > 了不起(must bet according to my record) DBL. Oh... if not bet DBL won la. However, as I was not confident due to the strange paces on Wed, I tried to save my bets therefore I bet DBL.

Above mentioned is generally used. Of course, it is not an absolute formula to me. Accoringly to my record, I find I used to win when I am confident at the most favorite will be "ding ding". I am still working on my method.

Different ppl have different selections. No absolute formula in this world. Find one fits you is the most important. However, it is my last time to say that: never bet P as your major bet. The paid is depended on the other 2 horses get into P. Hard to set good strategy ah.
作者: booking    時間: 28-10-2005 03:13 PM

引用:
原帖由 phantomhorse 於 28-10-2005 11:02 AM 發表
Will you bet HKD12,800 ? Come on! High risk.
a little bit risky......
作者: coffee    時間: 28-10-2005 03:44 PM

引用:
原帖由 phantomhorse 於 28-10-2005 03:00 PM 發表
I used to bet 3~5 races daily. I often have 1 or 2 selections in each races. Rare to have 3. If more than 4, I just dont bet. Since I rarely eat white fruit, the method fits me. And, as I rarely wi ...
got it.....never bet on P.....

will fine tune my findings on my database

thanks a lot phantomhorse
作者: 硬漢子    時間: 28-10-2005 08:52 PM

引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 28-10-2005 05:52 AM 發表
即是這樣嘛......Only Place
有得執 wor....
我有問題? 如果投注place這樣去到$1600但派彩少過$12-$13怎樣回之前本錢? 我所講只有每日計算, 即如果一日有3匹馬投注最多只輸$600, 這樣本錢不會大.
其實我都讚成賭馬要賭win, (因為練馬師的責任贏頭馬) 但睇暫時成績place好過win, 或可兩者都可投注, 賭馬不是只賭1次或2次這是一個大長途賽, 到累積某數目可加大注碼!
作者: cmleeeeeee    時間: 30-10-2005 02:55 AM

引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 27-10-2005 07:54 PM 發表
十月二十六日的賽馬後又一小統計。

我發現若一場只選取到一匹必殺技和必殺秒數選的馬，

出現27次
3 Win (11%)
14 Place (51.8%)

有51.8%的入圍率怎樣投注可贏錢？[ ...
coffee兄
單T全餐,$5一注,回報有$4430,
因為4/9友實力那場單T派$16178,$5就收$8089
假如只睹沙田賽事就更好分,因為沙田的派彩一般比快活谷高



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