賽日密馬 - Powered by Discuz! Board

標題: Wagering Strategy [打印本頁]

作者: phantomhorse 時間: 19-3-2006 03:16 AM 標題: Wagering Strategy

Delete post by Phantomhorse.

[ 本帖最後由 phantomhorse 於 20-3-2006 02:34 PM 編輯 ]

作者: myth 時間: 19-3-2006 04:13 AM

thank you:em17:

作者: booking 時間: 19-3-2006 08:05 AM

thx

作者: coffee 時間: 19-3-2006 10:20 AM

引用:

原帖由 phantomhorse 於 19-3-2006 03:16 AM 發表
This evening, I learn some good things from the existing legend of horse racing. Let me share the most important point in my eyes: wagering strategy.

First we need to know a very essential and b ...

只是話每場都有可能多過一隻乎？

作者: coffee 時間: 19-3-2006 10:30 AM

同 Marshal 傾過，他認為評分應分五級，留返第三級作中间不肯定之馬，一及二級為下風馬，四及五級為上風馬。我個人認為此grading system相當rational，而所有variable亦以此化繁為簡之方法開始再分weighting會較易控制。So far 我想到的範圍有

booking 的綜合評分
coffee 的操練評分
Marshal 的操練評分
phantomhorse 的video form
Lee-Hom 的檔位跑道意外評分和
dane 的騎練出擊評分作研究

combine all the above data, maybe we can get the most accurate rating of every horse in each race and apply to the Kelly's Formula

[ 本帖最後由 coffee 於 19-3-2006 10:36 AM 編輯 ]

作者: Lee-Hom 時間: 19-3-2006 10:35 AM

引用:

原帖由 coffee 於 19-3-2006 10:30 AM 發表
同 Marshal 傾過，他認為評分應分五級，留返第三級作中间不肯定之馬，一及二級為下風馬，四及五級為上風馬。我個人認為此grading system相當rational，而所有variable亦以此化繁為簡之方法開始再分weightin ...

phantomhorse (you) 的video form

Phantomhorse bro 做video form? 自己一個人做?? Crazy guy:em44:

作者: phantomhorse 時間: 19-3-2006 12:01 PM

引用:

原帖由 Lee-Hom 於 19-3-2006 10:35 AM 發表

phantomhorse (you) 的video form

Phantomhorse bro 做video form? 自己一個人做?? Crazy guy:em44:

No ah.. maybe I am the one to consolidate data of video form.

Variables are much more than we expect per the answer I got last nite. Over 30, 50, 70, 90, 110 variables? You guess :p

Let's consider later. But it takes a lot of time on developing the corect coefficients... Marshal, GR math guy?

作者: phantomhorse 時間: 19-3-2006 12:07 PM

引用:

原帖由 coffee 於 19-3-2006 10:20 AM 發表

只是話每場都有可能多過一隻乎？

Of course more than 1 horse in most races. That is good. Can go for Q, QP, or T whenever the E is positive.

So I think "powerfulbet" is useful because it already solves those problems. But I am not sure if they use Kelly's formula. If find some guys to write a program, it costs time and money. Need to further consider.

作者: phantomhorse 時間: 19-3-2006 12:17 PM

引用:

原帖由 coffee 於 19-3-2006 10:30 AM 發表
同 Marshal 傾過，他認為評分應分五級，留返第三級作中间不肯定之馬，一及二級為下風馬，四及五級為上風馬。我個人認為此grading system相當rational，而所有variable亦以此化繁為簡之方法開始再分weightin ...

GR also mentioned some variables in Gallop racing! I also believe those are valuable but will be difficult to work out coefficients. OK, agree to consolidate less variables for which we are advanced to the public.

作者: Lee-Hom 時間: 19-3-2006 01:10 PM

引用:

原帖由 phantomhorse 於 19-3-2006 12:01 PM 發表

No ah.. maybe I am the one to consolidate data of video form.

Variables are much more than we expect per the answer I got last nite. Over 30, 50, 70, 90, 110 variables? You guess :p

Let' ...

I see

VIDEO form is good, but need spend so much time. Of course is variable & i guess is around 30 to 50 la

:D

作者: phantomhorse 時間: 19-3-2006 01:44 PM

let me learn sth from u... we discuss later. finish today racing first!

歡迎光臨賽日密馬 (http://hrc.hk/)