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從谷草1200M找尋超級馬

從谷草1200M找尋超級馬

從谷草1200M找尋超級馬

1200M Happy Valley horses demand explosion speed in the last 2 sections (400M each). If a horse
can achieve the speed of  the last 2 sections equal or faster than 46.2, she can be said as a super horse
because it is not easy at all for a horse to give the speed of 46.2 in the last 2 sections. It requires
both speed and stamina.

Action: Can any brother help to list out all such super horses competing in 1200M in all classes?

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The total time of the last two section is equal to or faster than 46.2. If we want to sort out again the best of the best, we have to look at both the finishing time of each selected horse and her last 400M speed in her respective class and compare the time  of both with the fastest finishing time and the last 400M speed of same class of the last season.  Then you
readily know how super the horse is.

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Doctor, good job! Next Action: we have to find the best finishing time and the best
400M speed in 1200M Happy Valley  in respective class and then we can compare it apple to apple with same in the last season to identify those bank horses (super horses). Any volunteer brother to do such job again? Perhaps, in Doctoer list, maybe we can find some information already.

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Well, it makes sense!. With those selected horses, we should pay more attention on them
because they show speed and staminina and in particular, those young horses. They
have room to improve in the next season. Of course, if a bank horse wins in his same class
next season and his score is increased and competes in another upper class. She then
competes with stronger opponents. We have to evaluate again her strength to see if
she is able to win in that upper class. Golden rule is1分=1磅=1/3馬位=0.0666秒.

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For comparsion and yardstick  purposes, I list the best finishing time and the best last 400M speed of the last season in Happy Valley 1200M races:

                           Best Finishing Time              Last 400M Speed*
Class 1             1.09.8                                       22.86
Class  2            1.09.7                                       22.62
Class 3             1.09.4                                       22.87
Class 4             1.09.9                                       23.23
Class 5             1.10.7                                       23.36

* The last 400M speed acheived in that race  which the  horse gave his best finishing time.

                        Best 400M Speed                  Finishing Time**
Class 1             22.39                                     1.10.1
Class 2             22.52                                      1.09.9
Class 3             22.41                                      1.10.2
Class 4             22.38                                      1.10.2
Class 5             22.55                                      1.11.6

** Finishing time acheived in that race which she gave the best 400M speed.

With my chart, you will readily know if the horse considered is a target horse or not. For
example, if you find a horse  in a race A, which speed in that class, say class 3  is faster than 1.09.4, you know she breaks the record of the last season's fastest finishing time. In a next race B, if  she competes in 1200M again, of course she stands a good chance to
get a place or win.  If an additional supporting evidence shows  her last 400M speed in that
race A closer  to the last season's best  last 400M  speed in that class i.e. 22.41 at the same time, you are confident that she wins almost for sure in the next race B. I put money in your brothers'  pockets!!

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綫路精英   紅褲子  萬里駒   風陵渡 are my banker horse in Happy Valley 1200M. Reasons:
they fufil two stringent conditions:

1. they achieved last 2 section time  below 46.2 and the last 400M speed below 23.0
2. they achieved first 2 section time  below 47.1 in that races, only two lines below the average 2 section time in Class 3 last season.

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贏馬人兄, 歡迎加入討論,

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