The most favorite winning percentage is very constant. Winning chance is about 26-28% for years. Q is about 50% so far. P? I dont know... I dont consider much on that because I never bet P on the most favorite.
I dont fully agree with simply deleting the most favorite for Q, QP, or T. To use your example, the hedge results of the other 3 horses (no.3 odds should be 2.75), the ave payout is also 1.65 only. No difference to the most favoirte. Nonetheless, I think you just want to point out "no fear to take out the most favorite", right?
I also strongly believe that the only way to win is bet with the combinations whenever the Math. Expectation is positive. (chance x odds -1 >0).
Of coz, we never know the chance before the race. That's the "art" of horse racing :D
另外，說些個人經驗
我於92年"正式"賭馬。當時，長期飛走告東尼的大熱。那年大概投注60,000，獲利約10,000。
此後，基本上沿這方向投注，有贏有輸，總算不敗。
至02-04，不行了。及後驗討，4班賽輸得極慘。現時反注重4班熱門呢！
[ 本帖最後由 phantomhorse 於 2-9-2006 11:59 AM 編輯 ]
