小弟上年已用過贏馬通。因嫌其中得"不夠應"的關係，今年未用過。

因緣際會(?)，最近獲得一些職業賭馬集團的資訊，明白到自己的投注策略風險過高，很易爆煲。

由於小弟多賭W，有些偏冷/多數跑P的馬亦焗自己買W。當然，中得勁的今季有水星，但飲恨的卻更多。多得COFFEE,BOOKING,上杉兄私下的BRAINSTORMING，又試試用贏馬通做MODULE TEST，發現效果頗佳。起碼，利潤上有所增長，而最大的優勢是中膽後有錢贏的機率高。有錢回籠，或者小勝，(大勝很少)，可減輕壓力。這對吾等小本經營有很大助力。

對於COFFEE兄等很著重入位率的朋友，也許是提升回報的好方法。\r

贏馬通每日收費HKD20的。在此聲明，小弟與贏馬通毫無關係。只是深信科技的優勢，故拋磚引玉，只為討論矣。

祝君好運！

I set 30,000 capital. max 2,500. 10 bets. Q + QP.

If I have 2 selections, I set "extra confident" for the first choice, and then set "confident" for the second choice. Even though without providing "dead fire horses", the results are much better than my expectation. At least, from the module test, the results are better than my actual bets.

If I have 1 selection horse, I set "confident" and let the program run.

Due to my betting strategy, my betting amount is not proportional to my confidence. It worked pretty good when I was "in form", my capital went up to 210% in November. However, when I was not "in form", captial dropped to 130% within 1 month. And then, was not confident enough and I maintained the range from 90% to 150%.  Luckily I was sucessful in a few critical moments. Because I cannot rely on luck so much, have to find out better solution if I want to stay betting horses.

If I used the program, my capital might have gone to 160% while I reached 210%. But surely,  my captial might have been able to maintain 150% while in the reality it went to under 130% because many of my choices turned out 2nd and 4th in DEC and JAN. IT HURTS.

Maybe the final results do not vary a lot, but the fluctuation affects my confidence... it is very important. If I did not win a Q + QP recently, I must have been losing now! It is a big impact from double capital to losing so quickly. I think all bros here can understand.

[ 本帖最後由 phantomhorse 於 17-3-2006 01:05 PM 編輯 ]

Coffee, you have to register to be a member first. The program costs around HKD100. HKD20/ per racing day if you use the program. It is free for retriving the old data (after racing day).

You can check the power of the program by inputing your past selections under the "簡易" version. But I am a bit insecure because I use the final odds for deciding the bets for the trials. In reality, we use the data 3~5 minutes before race start. I guess money deposit may cause you a few days to get the program

I may spend around HKD1,000/day to test the program. Say 10 racing days. I do not mind posting my bets. But very sorry I tend to post after races because I tend to bet in the final minute before start.

I am not sure whether the programe uses Kelly's formula or what else equations but I am quite sure that they do the betting calculations based on scientific ones. It saves a lot of work for the socalled Pro-Am like me. hahahaha

www.powerfulbet.com

They provide instant odds. They have their own ways to calculate the chances of horses but I dont really agree with them. Instead, to use the "brief" version, the winning probabilities are reflected by the actual odds. with our "shum shui" entry, it generates the proposed bets to us. May I am wrong! For details please ask the web.

Everyone knows how to pick the horses. Of course, our abillities of pick horses are essential for win/loss. Without picking the winner or runners up, we cannot win by any program. With the help of the program, I think it is possible to maximize the profit by betting on Q or QP instead of P. I will say, if you bet under HKD200, that program does not help.

ADV: when you have 2 cold selections, even one of them be the winner or runner up, we may have tiny profits or do not lose all bets. It keeps our confidence and fun as frequency of payoff is higher.

DISADV: If 2 cold horses got a QP or Q, unable to win as big as our traditional betting methods.

The choices of horses of coz affect the results. Just my module results: I can win more if I use the program. My average bet this season is around HKD3,000 daily. Say, If I have 10% more return in average, it is good la. HKD300/day x 70 days = HKD21,000/season.

At least good for 1 week of vacation la!

Yesterday I used 贏馬通. Results are bad.

The biggest problem is that when I find the odds are attractive, the dividends dropped a lot at the end. (I calculate the bets in the last 4 ro 5 minutes.) Like Race 9, QP 7+9 is HKD78 in the last 3 or 4 minute. Outcome is HKD46. Deeply hurt . No profit for that... need to consider... as I try to use the "professional" way to bet without the professional tool, I cannot be successful. Of course, not everytime the dividends drop that much. But I have to estimate the P for myself... hard stuff.

Will further try and report :)

引用:

原帖由 happylife 於 21-3-2006 01:02 AM 發表
I personally think 贏馬通 is useless. I bought it when it just launched. All the win probabilities need to input by user and it suggested the value bet. I believed it is based on the Kelly criterio ...

I see. :) Now no need to put anything manually now unless you want to amend the winning chances. If we calculate by ourselves for Q or QP, it takes a while to find out the overlay bets. Of course, we can ask Excel to list out all combo with positive E. Thank you for your advice anyway. :)

Yes, agree the initial version is bad. I had not used for ... 1 or 2 year?