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Tips by exclusion 28/6/2006 - closed

得個吉日

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明白

會繼續努力求進, 望多支持

:33:

不過要次次超越往績,真係好難.
:emo04:

[ 本帖最後由 小胖 於 5-6-2006 09:54 PM 編輯 ]
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初步心水

r/n        1        2        3        4        5        6        7        8        9        10        11        12                       
1        y        y        y        y        y        _        y        y        y        y        y        y                        11
2        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        _        y        y                        11
3        y        y        y        _        y        _        _        y        y        y        _        y                        8
4        y        y        _        y        y        y        y        y        _        y        y        y                        10
5        y        y        y        y        y        y        _        _        _        y        _        y                        8
6        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        _                        11
7        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        _        y                        11
8        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        _                        11

[ 本帖最後由 小胖 於 5-6-2006 11:41 PM 編輯 ]
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出動!

r/n     1        2        3        4        5        6        7        8        9      10      11      12                       
1        y        _        y        _        y        _        _        _        _        y        y        y                        6 (t:131.5+47.5+228):shy:
2        y        _        y        y        y        _        _        y        _        _        y        _                        6 (t:95+89.5+103.5):shy:
3        y        _        y        _        y        _        _        y        _        y        _        _                        5 p :em30:
4        _        y        _        _        y        y        _        y        _        _        y        y                        6 (q/pq : 171)
5        y        _        y        y        _        y        _        _        _        y        _        _                        5 p :em30:
6        y        y        y        y        y        y        y        _        _        _        _        _                        7 pq :em30:
7        y        y        y        _        _        y        y        y        _        y        _        y                        8 t
8        y        y        y        y        _        y        _        _        _        _        y        _                        6 pq (40) :em30:

都好平均, 再加谷A難買, 小注怡情吧

放頭w ($10 each) :
1:10 xxx
2:4 xxx2ndxxx
3:5 xxx
4:4 xxx
5:6 xxx
6:12 w253 :em17:
7:5 xxx
8:9 xxx

速勢Q ($10 each) :
1:5,11 xxx
2:1,4 xxx
3:1,3 xxx
4:2,6 xxx
8:4,6 xxx

best w2x1 : r3xr5 ($250),
best pq : race 3,5 ($100), race 1,2,4,8 ($150) (optional)
(I think the rule for pq is : if less than or equal to 1/2 of hrs remain, then buy it)

total bet : $130+$250+$200(+600)=$580/$1180
total return : $1159 (-$21)

[ 本帖最後由 小胖 於 7-6-2006 11:06 PM 編輯 ]
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開波

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just buy what I listed above ($1180)

and my tips in the challenge
r1:11 x r7:8 2x3 ($10 each)
and p2x1 ($10)

明瑪實價,唔買臨場

already got 3pq for 1st race.
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:em68:
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mud 甘啱既?

又渾吉
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Mr. coffee

Yes, it's a very good source to amend my data.
As mentioned, I know it's a long road from being succcessful.  But I'll try my best to collect more data.
If your "rubbish training" can be provided constantly, I'll add yours as one of the rule in my formula, for sure.

Currently, I only based on some newspaper and 速勢系統 and past results.  If there're more areas of data, the "circle" will become smaller and smaller and we'll be closer to success.

Even so, I think at this stage, achieving "not losing" much for 2 times is not bad for me.  I'm now considering of removing the bad w2x1 to improve the outcome.  PQ is a very good area for me.

Another thing I want to say, I'm a big fans of you, always.

[ 本帖最後由 小胖 於 8-6-2006 09:19 PM 編輯 ]
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Yes, I agree. There's lacking of personalty

But you know, I'm a guy that never goes to racecourse and very seldom goes to betting centre.  I can only obtain data from newspapers.  Yes, training is a very useful data.  But what else?  I admire you can collect so much data on training, and am very sure that it takes very long time to meet your standard (at least to collect so huge amount of data).  It takes months or years to do so and needs to be very focus.

Actually, some years ago, I've defined a number of quantative formulas such as :
+- 25 pounds of hourse weight
new horse + hk riders
>= 8 age + more than 125 bearing weight.

There're around 100 formulas.  But eventually, each formula turns out to be either lack of data (as the formula growing to be more and more extreme) or not valid.

The truth is that, racing is racing and you can't calculate the result.  For everything that you can calculate, others can do so.  There're too many possibilities in a race and too many 'insiders' in betting.  As an outsider, it's very difficult for me to win.

Training is a very good area to become an 'insider'.  But it's tedious and may not apply for another time.  For other areas, you can find them on newspaper.  There won't be too much are to explore.

I know people may think that referring to newspaper is lacking of character.  But remember, I just collect data but not tips.  The formula look at every horse in many 'faces'.  Some newspaper can see something whereas others can see others.  As a whole, it's possible to find the truth.  It's my principle.  Not to depend on single source.

Three "chou pei Jeung" is better than one "Chu Kot Leung" ma!

For the above, I can't see there's any other tips that got similar 'character' as mine.

[ 本帖最後由 小胖 於 8-6-2006 04:11 PM 編輯 ]
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