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咖啡堡 coffee Blog

引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 1-2-2007 05:21 PM 發表
近排工作上忙到抽筋,無暇在賽曰coffee shop主持大局,望大家見諒。
有時甚至忙到操練功課也要省略,抖不過氣。\r
各位幫手回覆及發表的朋友們,多謝哂!
seems everyone quite busy these days...

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原帖由 coffee 於 15-2-2007 02:21 PM 發表
大家有冇一個難忘既情人節呢?

今天開始放大假,稍為有時間寫返小小分享。

近日甚少留言,工作忙得緊要。昨晚跑完馬做了檢討,自己的選馬系統今季成績差到極,已輸了過四萬元。輸錢感覺固然不好,但輸了長久 ...
19 win out of 37 races.

51% win rate

avg odds =  2.57


min odds need to make profit for 51% win rate = 1.96

and I found out 2 races odds is under odds 2.

should we should count 17/37

= 45% win rate.

then avg odds is 2.17

as the avg odds is too similar with the actual odds calculate from win rate..

even u use kelly.. the result wont have big difference if u bet fix amount each win.

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引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 16-2-2007 12:29 AM 發表

thanks for your comment:em37:
actually if u can keep the good pattern horse record in excel..

I can help u do some analysis if u want.

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引用:
原帖由 coffee 於 7-3-2007 11:24 PM 發表
自農曆年檢討後所提供的精選馬(操練必殺技 +  1-4賠)成績勁好,
但仍未找到贏錢最佳方法,大家有セ好見意?

千萬福星        2
鄉村傳奇        3
大家平安        1
馬友利         1
千萬福星       
喜蓮精彩        1
駕馭             ...
5win from 8...


buy win with kelly if avg odds over $16.00

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