[quote]原帖由 山埃博士 於 10-7-2007 11:40 PM 發表

8倍唔使過關已經係真飛啦，
睇

引用:

原帖由 coffee 於 9-7-2007 07:49 AM 發表
有人和交易的地方就有金錢陰謀論。一隻馬有飛便代表有人真金白級投注。
坊間有人像phantom鑽研大熱門穩定性，也有不少人估下馬匹到底係真飛定假飛。
大家有乜心得，一齊分享。

Hoho, coffee.

小弟說說自已的邏輯/方法吧

Kelly's Criteria 非常重要。

理論上，一場14隻馬，用Kelly's Criteria, 要準確推算每隻馬的值博率才有效。可是，能力所限，做不到。考慮到抽水約17%，大熱平均為彩池的20幾%，能好好把握大熱，1隻己矣，己大大抵銷抽水了！雖然自已多數只投單W/race, 不太Kelly, 但效果總比以前好！起碼自十月開始一路正數到尾，未用Kelly前未試過！

真飛/假飛

相當主觀。一般來說，排位一出，大家心中都有們譜的。"離譜"了，有原因的。怎判真假，閣下自理:smile_30: 畢竟，我們極少會為一個單一的原因去投注。有冇幫助自已先知，對嗎?

分享:
http://www.hkjc.com/chinese/raci ... /2007&raceno=03
這是經典例子

Hi everyone long time no see :)

just wanna share some experience about "tickets" in horse racing.
as most of u know that I have a program dat monitor the horse "tickets" from "bet start" to "race start"

I just wanna point out that, difference horses ( difference owner, trainer, jockey ) will have difference style of "drop tickets"

Some trainer like to bet a big amount after "bet start" no matter the horse is "hot" or "cold" ( for example. Li Yee Tak )
and some trainer would like to bet during the whole period especially 6pm-2am ( for example, Leung Di Wah and Ng Ding Keung)

what we need to do is try figure out the "drop tickets" pattern when the horse which running in a place this time but u think
its wont have a chance to win before the race start.

keep the record and figure it out. u will find out dat most of the "cold horse" (about 50%) really have a "way" to "drop tickets"

+ oil

BTW, I am back to HRC :)

Let's win together :)

引用:

原帖由 rucrazy 於 13-7-2007 12:46 AM 發表
Hi everyone long time no see :)

just wanna share some experience about "tickets" in horse racing.
as most of u know that I have a program dat monitor the horse "tickets" fro ...

nice hearing you back. are you coming to our happy hour on 24 July?

引用:

原帖由 coffee 於 13-7-2007 09:28 AM 發表

nice hearing you back. are you coming to our happy hour on 24 July?

I cant come le. as I am working in Macau now. I will only stay in HK every Sat, Sun only.

引用:

原帖由 rucrazy 於 13-7-2007 12:46 AM 發表
Hi everyone long time no see :)

just wanna share some experience about "tickets" in horse racing.
as most of u know that I have a program dat monitor the horse "tickets" fro ...

Great! We use same method and go for different field! Luckily meet crazy hing See see if we have chance to meet later ah!!