引用:

原帖由 freddie0212 於 29-8-2006 07:38 PM 發表



Thanks for your explanation.  But, I still have somethings not sure.  What's your meaning of "have a good result" ??  It means getting in place?? or finish in sh ...

我信每隻馬都有個別模式，但佔的只屬小數。
如東喜用拍跳一段及泥細閘，但東海龍卻反傳統。若佔的只屬小數，我不會放太多時間。

let me give you thre examples for reference...

咦！？ 突然想到了，兩位的方法各有可取之處。正是：「大倉也有難勝馬，小倉靈活任佢玩。」

"good result" mean lose in a short lenght...

agree with difference age and case need a difference training pattern. but I dont mind if it only happen 1 in 10 .coz the return odds already higher than the money we lose on dat kind of horse.

我信每隻馬都有個別模式，但佔的只屬小數。

ya, so I only bet the 小數 .

I am a person who also using kelly as the betting method o.O

=MAX(M3*(E3-1/J3)*J3/(E3-1),0)

:)

引用:

原帖由 rucrazy 於 30-8-2006 07:30 AM 發表
"good result" mean lose in a short lenght...

agree with difference age and case need a difference training pattern. but I dont mind if it only happen 1 in 10 .coz the return odds alrea ...

呵呵…我從WB的talk 中才知Kelly's 的好處。後在"計得精彩"獲知算式。R 兄有冇計臨場計快D ?

引用:

原帖由 rucrazy 於 30-8-2006 07:30 AM 發表
I am a person who also using kelly as the betting method o.O

=MAX(M3*(E3-1/J3)*J3/(E3-1),0)

Oh! Professional.:49::em17:
Can you tell the meanings of the variables in the above formula??
M3 = ??
E3 = ??
J3 = ??

Thanks

To Freddie,

m3  =   一季資本
e3  =    賠率
j3   =    估計勝出率

To Phantomhorse,

wat's u mean by 有冇計臨場計快D?
I am using Excel just type in the "real odds from hkjc" then the excel will tell u how to bet.. btw. I have roundup the betting
money as $10 too. so just follow the excel file..

anyway. here is the code in excel.

=MAX(H3*(E4-1/J4)*J4/(E4-1),0)    (<---- this is how much u need to bet)
=IF(C4="win",H3+E4*G4,H3)-G4-I4  (<---- this is calculate how much u left after the bet)

btw, I am using 計得精彩's formula to reformat this formula... coz its take too much time to use the formula
provided by the book. And seems too diffucult for us if we really dont have too much to bet. so I do it in
a simple way like the formula I show u here.

引用:

原帖由 rucrazy 於 27-8-2006 08:23 PM 發表
I just finish the searching training pattern for last 4 yrs...
from the result, Its seems dat most of the trainer they really have a training pattern before they really want to win the match.
bu ...

good ~ 最難諗既我覺得就係究竟邊d馬係要留力熱身等等，如果捉得倒邊隻馬賽前做d乜係為o左乜既話對投注真係好大幫助，有時睇操練資料試閘等等既野都得唔出一個好結論，例如一隻馬試閘做出快時間，咁代表乜呢？可能係好似好多告東尼博殺馬跳一段21.x咁去同隻馬做最後衝刺跟住果場就博殺，但又可能係因為隻馬自己太急燥先做出咁既走勢，之後出賽可能只係為同佢收下火熱下身，好多時究竟邊樣先o岩真係賽後先知 .....

我也是用計得精彩的。但有時要計Q，PQ (自已estimate)，如遇上多項投注，太慢。(我最後3分鐘或更遲才決定下注的。)

另按：我與CXWONG有數面之緣。當時，未出書，仲唔知佢賭馬！年幾前啦。佢\可能唔記得我囉。

dats why I only betting on WIN at this moment... calcuate Q and PQ take too much times....
and I try to use Kelly to calcuate Q... but seems the formula is quite difficult to edit to Q mode from my win mode in Excel.