Yesterday I used 贏馬通. Results are bad.

The biggest problem is that when I find the odds are attractive, the dividends dropped a lot at the end. (I calculate the bets in the last 4 ro 5 minutes.) Like Race 9, QP 7+9 is HKD78 in the last 3 or 4 minute. Outcome is HKD46. Deeply hurt . No profit for that... need to consider... as I try to use the "professional" way to bet without the professional tool, I cannot be successful. Of course, not everytime the dividends drop that much. But I have to estimate the P for myself... hard stuff.

Will further try and report :)

I personally think 贏馬通 is useless. I bought it when it just launched. All the win probabilities need to input by user and it suggested the value bet. I believed it is based on the Kelly criterion. We can use Excel to do the same funtion EASILY. No need to pay!

引用:

原帖由 happylife 於 21-3-2006 01:02 AM 發表
I personally think 贏馬通 is useless. I bought it when it just launched. All the win probabilities need to input by user and it suggested the value bet. I believed it is based on the Kelly criterio ...

I see. :) Now no need to put anything manually now unless you want to amend the winning chances. If we calculate by ourselves for Q or QP, it takes a while to find out the overlay bets. Of course, we can ask Excel to list out all combo with positive E. Thank you for your advice anyway. :)

Yes, agree the initial version is bad. I had not used for ... 1 or 2 year?