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原帖由 phantomhorse 於 14-3-2006 12:59 發表
[quote]原帖由 Forest 於 14-3-2006 10:02 AM 發表

2月22日  7/8   = 88%
2月26日  6/10 = 60%
3月1日    5/8   = 62%
3月4日    4/11 = 36%
3月12日  3/10 = 30%
Total     25 /47 = 53%

Dont agree lor. Although do not know your meaning of "cold horses", dividend over 10 average 8~9 per races? even over dividend 20, not a small numbers per race.
last reply on this subject :46:

Although do not know your meaning of "cold horses" .....
but you still make your comments ..... :em34:


well .... my "COLD HORSES" was limited to max. 6 horses per race.
and ... dividend over 10 or so ... may not the "cold horse" in my defination ...
sometimes .... horses' with dividend over 10 ... will be one of the 5 hots too ..
nowaday ... picking a banker among 4 to 6 horses is not so unacceptable ...
and .... just because of "COLD" ....
that can affort a little larger range .... agree :em03:

just take my betting as example ....
(detail betting records please kindly refer to my 基金投注 post)
even I have to pick one or two out of the 6 COLD HORSES ....
and my banker hit rate is not that high ....
I can still make profit ... :em27:

I keep mentioning the 4 or 5 OVER NIGHT HOTS .... and this "COLD HORSES" ....
just want to share my betting theory ....
and this theory seems working for the time being

Again ... I just want to share my finding ....
try to provide some hints ....
the DATA is out there ....
how to manipulate ..... it's up to you :em35:

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引用:
原帖由 Forest 於 14-3-2006 10:02 AM 發表


sorry .... 冇咁多 .... 係咩意思 .... 唔係好明 ....

你係講近幾次賽日o既 [冷馬] 入位率 .... ???
如果係 ...
FYI .... 53.6% 係 total 數 ....
即係今季 453場馬, 有 243場有 [冷馬入位] . ...
SORRY,我誤會左是你揀的[馬膽]。
賭[位置]=慢性自殺

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再俾多個數據 .... (我的 [冷馬] 係每場最多 6隻) ....
"3" In Place:  243/  453=53.64%
"3" > F5 QP :  235/  453=51.88%
"3" > F5 T  :  144/  453=31.79%
Total QP   : 109840.00
Total T    :1474880.00
Total Trio : 229979.00

今季跑o左 453場馬, 有 144場係 1隻[冷馬] + 5大熱門其中2隻 串單T.
單T 總派彩 $229979 .... 成廿三萬 ....
我就當冇能力選一隻出o黎做膽 ....
要場場 6隻 [冷馬] 用晒o黎做膽 拖 5大熱門 買單T ....
1拖5 = $100, 6隻膽即係 $600 一場 ....
453 x 600 = $271800
場場咁買都係輸幾萬銀 ....

如果我有少少能力 .... 當我可以揀 5隻就中 ....
即係每場 5隻冷膽 .... $500 一場, 453 x 500 = $226500, 仲有幾千銀贏 ... :em03:

如果我能力再高少少 ..... 可以揀 3隻就中 ....
即係每場 3隻冷膽 .... $300 一場, 453 x 300 = $135900, 贏成十萬 .... :em27:

但係我冇本 .... 只有盡力去揀一隻出o黎 ..... 都有得贏

其實都係想分享我自己o既理念 ....
冷膽 .... 好過 熱膽 .... 因為保障o左有一定回報 ....
我一開始賭馬就賭冷門 .... 但係就好少理熱門 ...
直到今季 .... 有 [隔夜熱門] 同 [冷馬] 上名率o既數據 support ...
先改變o左我o既賭法 .... 亦都第一季有錢贏 ...
所以先敢同大家分享o下 ...
如果長氣o左 ... (個女都成日話我長氣 ... ) 請多多包涵

[ 本帖最後由 Forest 於 14-3-2006 02:32 PM 編輯 ]

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引用:
原帖由 uturn 於 14-3-2006 14:06 發表



SORRY,我誤會左是你揀的[馬膽]。
That's okay :33:

如果 ... 我所揀o既 [馬膽] 有 53.6% 命中率 .....
我都搞個投注會啦 .... 做幾廿萬o既基金經理啦 ....

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Good analysis :)

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賭[位置]=慢性自殺

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thank you uturn
有數據。有統計。有糸統。
有犯錯。有測試。有檢討。
賭得精。中得密。贏得大。

不信內幕貼士只信自己。
建立自己系統方為正路。
若你可做到三成勝出率,
你便可成為馬場大贏家。

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多謝提供:em17:

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一般水準
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賭[位置]=慢性自殺

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爆爆地有 46 % is good !

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