想研究隔夜賠率的參考價值, Forest 不就是箇中高手嗎 ?

引用:

原帖由 山埃博士 於 18-1-2007 04:41 PM 發表

同意隔夜飛更能反映幕後對馬匹機會睇法，
的確有極少數陣前排山倒海的馬匹有好表現，
但細心研究，輸的，佔九成！

Totaly agree. dats why I give up on live odds reseach during racing day already...

I do agree dat might be sometimes live odds can represent a chance of horse to get place...
buts at the same time... too many horses odds have special "change" . its too hard to
modify which one is the real one -.-.. and the time between race to race about 30 mins only...
I dont think we have enought time to do too many things in the same time during racing..

我的睇法直接一點。

假設一場馬有12匹，獨贏投注有12項，連贏投注有66項，可想而知，連贏彩池的注項多出很多，即每個注項的投注金額相對較少，要推郁個別連贏位賠率，所需要的金額亦相應較少。因此，同樣數量的金額投放在「獨贏」及「連贏」彩池，「獨贏」賠率的落飛較不明顯。

由此推論，若某匹馬的「獨贏」有明顯的落飛現象，即表示「真銀」數量較大。

連贏彩池較為分散，若要在連贏彩池找落飛馬，我會找出某匹馬拖各熱門，是否有明顯的偏熱跡象。 (註：必須是一胆拖多腳的連贏位有明顯偏熱跡象)，這樣的落飛馬，「真銀」數量亦不菲。

投注策略 and 值博率 + overnight odds = 長線有斬獲。

引用:

原帖由 好運贏家 於 25-1-2007 09:08 AM 發表
投注策略 and 值博率 + overnight odds = 長線有斬獲。

how to calculate 值博率 ? tks

引用:

原帖由 whatchee 於 25-1-2007 12:07 PM 發表



how to calculate 值博率 ? tks

hkheadline.com has good reference

http://www.hkheadline.com/blog/r ... W16115&id=12336

[ 本帖最後由 好運贏家 於 25-1-2007 12:42 PM 編輯 ]

thank you, it seems that it compares against an odd in one's mind, that is very subjective,
do you have any objective calculation?

Hope someone can shed some light on this. tks

i'm afraid i cannot speak here, will pm you later !

[ 本帖最後由 好運贏家 於 25-1-2007 02:53 PM 編輯 ]