小胖 ,
Actually, Weight&Class or even Time Theory are not complicated at all.
Firstly, my *Time* experience was that at early 90s, I developed a Time scaled rating myself ( just input the run time and its carried weight of previous races.[ I did not use it at Australia but HK was that HK at that time was racing on sand-meshed grass. *Time* never works on grass but work fine on dirt; sand-mesh grass was grass but being raced like a dirt track.]. I took this piece of system to HK and won a lot at the beginning ( HK winter ) but then this system started to fell at Spring. Moreover, it only worked on C2 horses and especially horses stabled at Kan Bing Chee. Luckily, I slammed on the brake and stopped because I knew I was sucked into the *Time * trap. I never looked back since and I would suggest everyone be cautious with Time [ ** Being a punter, one should not disclose a secret but I am doing it to avoid more people to jump off their windows**] I only want to win their money, not their lives.
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Then I went back to the traditional weigh&Class method.... No, it did not work at HK AT ALL because HK used a rating based system. All horses were already scaled up and down by the HKJC handicapper. That was also the time the so-called God of Horse controlled the races.... Since he is dead already, I should not say anything on him but you guys all got it wrong about his ability. While we bet 14 horses per race, he only bet 4 or 5 horses....you know what I mean.
What saved my punting life was David Hayes' arrival to HK. He brought a batch of horses , mostly PPG and started at rating =46 from CLASS 4. It was like throwing a tiger into a group of sheep. But then HKJC changed the system and also hired a new Handicapper.We all had to think of some new methods.
Nowadays, racing is much easier. You might disagree but here are my reasons:
1. troublesome trainers are history. No more silly man--Kan Bing Chee who raced his horses TOO often and only he knew when they were ready and 'go'. No more Hutchison, no more Wong Siu Darn.
2. troublesome jockeys are also history. Kinane--I only bet his horses while he raced in Europe. no more Steven King, no more Gauci, no more Basil Marcus. Among all, Basil Marcus was the worst.
3. Lots of new PP with exposed oversea form
4 Except TK Ng, nobody waits anymore for better odds.
I think your idea is good. We all improve by sharing info. Nowadays, I write here to exchange my ideas with you guys to polish my punting. I like looking into new angles, too.
